Bill Cara

Life & Politics

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goldbug58

Just had to research this RFK Jr guy suddenly taking the Kennedy name to center stage. Wondered why I’d never really heard of him before.

Ok his first wife comes across his journal which documented some 37 extra-marital affairs. Known by his friends for sending explicit nude photos of women. Wife hung herself in 2012. Yeah, seems like a real stand-up guy. This is what you get with Trump. Birds of a feather flock together.

goldbug58

Coinbase, very questionable business practices. Will always give you a high quote when buying, a lowball price when selling. Their fees (buy or sell), average close to 5% of the trade.

I had some Solana which I wanted to sell because it went way up. Without my knowledge, or permission, they “staked” it. In order to sell, I had to “unstake” it which induced a wait time of next week. Meantime it went down over 16% overnight.

Many crypto brokers over the years, have proved to be fraudulent. Just enough to piss me off. They also don’t send you a 1099 at tax time, they just put your trades in a spreadsheet and let you figure it out.

jimg

December 19, 2024 NYT:Is the Tech Industry Already on the Cusp of an A.I. Slowdown?Companies like OpenAI and Google are running out of the data used to train artificial intelligence systems. Can new methods continue years of rapid progress?

https://archive.is/Ox7G3#selection-657.0-661.157

July 4, 2024: Professor Hsu ( Manifold )

“So 70 percent chance, the rate of improvement, say from GPT 3 to GPT 4 will not be fully replicated in jumping from four to five. So 70 percent chance of that, or at least, you know, 50 percent or more. and then the remainder that will stay on the scaling curve, at least for one more generation. And, and who knows, maybe beyond that.”

“When is someone going to start actually making serious money from AI?
Because I’m going to claim to you that at least as far as these language models go there isn’t really serious money being made yet. Another way of saying no serious money being made yet is that the real impact on the economy is thus still de minimis. very much. So let me talk about the AI bubble in the Bay Area and every dinner, every meeting that I’ve had with people there, especially the ones who are in this race among these companies, and it is a flat out race.”

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RSFEclhlBRc

Transcript:

https://www.manifold1.com/episodes/ai-global-odyssey-real-situational-awareness-63/transcript

jimg

More Men Are Addicted to the ‘Crack Cocaine’ of the Stock Market
Gamblers Anonymous meetings are filling up with people hooked on trading and betting. Apps make it as easy as ordering takeout.

https://archive.is/ObYDN#selection-5633.0-5637.127

jimg

Jesse Colombo: Dec 18, 2024
24 Reasons Why I Don’t Believe in Bitcoin & Crypto
“Although I’ve made numerous successful bullish calls on Bitcoin over the years, there are many glaring reasons why I never became a true believer in it.”
https://tinyurl.com/2fh629ff

Bill Cara

If CNN truly wants to present civil panelist discussions they would replace Scott Jennings with Shermichael Singleton and David Urban to present GOP arguments.

The latter two guests are respectful gentlemen who never fail to impress me. Jennings on the other hand is a thin-skinned jerk who should be given the permanent hook for his insistent talking-over and disrespecting anybody at the table, including the hosts, who have an opposite view. In all my years watching CNN, I have never seen such an unworthy guest.

Dave

I noticed lots of put being brought against QC stocks
may be they went too far ahead of it self
tomorrow I will trim my holding to half to preserve my profits

Bill Cara

This comment should be in the Community blog where we talk stocks and other investments.

jimg

Let the games begin……
“Policymakers face a series of fiscal deadlines in 2025, the first being the reinstatement of the debt ceiling, which is the legal limit on the amount of debt the federal government can accumulate”
“The Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 suspended the debt ceiling through January 1, 2025, at which point the debt ceiling will be reinstated at the amount of debt outstanding on that date and the Department of the Treasury will begin using accounting maneuvers known as extraordinary measures to temporarily keep the federal government from defaulting on its debt”

https://www.americanactionforum.org/insight/the-debt-ceiling-a-refresher/#ixzz8uhc7t5LS

jimg

It’s starting….Continuing resolution plus 110 billion

There will never be austerity. The bond market will react not to their liking

‘Total dumpster fire’: Republicans fume over speaker’s spending plan days from shutdown deadline
https://www.yahoo.com/news/total-dumpster-fire-republicans-fume-171800164.html

jimg

Richard Gale and Gary Null PhD’s “Autism, Made in the USA” argues that a dramatic rise in autism and other childhood disorders is linked to insufficiently tested vaccines, particularly highlighting the potential neurotoxicity of aluminum adjuvants. The authors contend that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and other health agencies have suppressed evidence of a vaccine-autism connection, prioritizing the interests of pharmaceutical companies over public health. They cite numerous studies and court cases supporting their claims of vaccine-related harm, while accusing the CDC of using flawed research methodologies. The authors ultimately call for a complete reevaluation of vaccine safety and the CDC’s immunization schedule.

https://prn.live/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/article-autism-12-16-24.docx

jimg

Mike Green, a partner and Chief Strategist at Simplify Asset Management, drills down into the structure of leveraged ETFs, namely $MSTU and $MSTX and the potential to crash the market. (Think Paul Tudor Jones and the market crash of 1987 )

https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/michael-green-cfa-portfolio-manager-chief-strategist/id1442284870?i=1000679896159

Bill Cara

For those interested in the dramatic political events in South Korea — attempted coup and impeachment — you should try to watch a free film on YouTube called 12:12 The Day. Rotten Tomatoes rated around 98. Apparently this drama is a close depiction of the successful coup in South Korea in 1979 and 1980.

Pat didn’t care much but I found this movie was one of the best I watched this year. I might watch it again!

goldbug58

Spent 12 years of my life in Korea. Two events soured the population against the govt and are remembered to this day. Kwangju massacre (1980), Sewol ferry disaster of 2014. In that one, 304 high school kids lost their lives as the crew and captain abandoned ship. Kids were told to stay in the cabin and wait to be rescued. Horrible.

dave.raj09@yahoo.com

i am paying $50/wk to cut my lawn, they I think they are illegal from brazil, if i hire landscaping company it will cost me $100/wk, i am paying $150/month to cleaning people who comes and clean my house, They also seem illegal but if I hire a company to do it will cost me $300/month,
Now
I am having second through about voting for Trump

Bill Cara

Navy over Army 32-13

I did not see that coming. But after the few minutes, it was obvious that Army’s O-line and their QB were not up to Navy’s play.

goldbug58

Navy QB stole the show. Kid looks pretty good, had one meltdown against Notre Dame this past season.

Bill Cara

The world just turned weirder.

Tonight we discovered that Luigi Mangione who will almost certainly be convicted of murder of the UnitedHealth CEO will be represented by none other than Karen Friedman Agnifilo.

This is a blockbuster in the US legal world.

Bill Cara

Army-Navy game on Saturday.

In other years, this is a game I would not watch. But this year, I recommend it as must-see TV. For those who don’t know Army football this year, which was me a week ago, the reason is a quarterback by the name of Bryson Daily. With PVR, I watch pieces of about six college ball games a week and have for years. I can honestly say, I have never seen one player dominate the way Bryson Daily does. Tomorrow, I am expecting him to run about 130 yards and run for three touchdowns IN THE FIRST HALF. Yes, he’s that good. His football conference has never had a player that good in its history.

Let’s see if my forecast comes true!

Bill Cara

Citing personal and professional reasons, Jordan Peterson says he’s left Canada and set up residence in Florida.

He too is furious with Justin Trudeau.

Bill Cara

Has the Liberal Party just met privately to replace Justin Trudeau with the Foreign Affairs Minister?

c2ski

Canadian economy continues to decline

A new report from Statistics Canada on the National Balance Sheet and Financial Flow Accounts for the third quarter of 2024 reveals troubling signs of economic instability. According to the data, Canada’s national net worth fell by 0.7% to $18.95 trillion, marking the second consecutive quarter of decline. This downturn was largely driven by slumping residential real estate values and a decrease in the value of natural resources, two critical pillars of the Canadian economy.

National balance sheet and financial flow accounts, third quarter 2024 – https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/en/daily-quotidien/241212/dq241212a-eng.pdf?st=zHu9FF7

The report, released on December 12, paints a stark picture of an economy at a crossroads. Despite some gains in financial markets and household savings, structural weaknesses are becoming increasingly apparent. Real estate, once a cornerstone of middle-class wealth, is now eroding, while the natural resource sector struggles under pressure. At the same time, household debt remains historically high, and federal borrowing has surged, raising questions about the sustainability of current economic policies.

What does this mean for ordinary Canadians? It’s clear that while some benefit from financial market gains, many are being left behind, their financial futures increasingly uncertain.

The real estate market—once a pillar of middle-class wealth—is crumbling. Home values dropped for the second quarter in a row, with the average resale price falling a staggering 5.2%. And while sales activity picked up slightly in late summer, it’s hardly enough to reverse the damage. Real estate still makes up 40.9% of household assets, meaning that as home prices fall, the average Canadian is losing big. This isn’t just numbers on a page—it’s the financial future of millions of families evaporating.

At the same time, our natural resource sector—one of the few remaining engines of real productivity—is weakening. While other nations are doubling down on energy independence and resource development, Canada’s elites are busy strangling these industries with regulations, taxes, and a “green” agenda that has left us reliant on foreign imports.

And what about the government? Well, they’re spending like there’s no tomorrow. Federal borrowing exploded in the third quarter to $25.4 billion, with foreigners snapping up Canadian debt. Sure, demand is strong now, but how long can this continue before the system cracks under the weight of this reckless spending?

Meanwhile, the corporate sector isn’t faring much better. Canadian businesses are paying an average interest rate of 4.16% on their debt—higher than before—and borrowing demand is slowing. If businesses can’t invest, they can’t grow. And if they can’t grow, well, good luck creating jobs or boosting wages.

For ordinary Canadians, the picture isn’t much brighter. Sure, net worth ticked up slightly this quarter, but let’s not kid ourselves. The wealthiest 20% of households hold over 71.6% of financial assets. If you’re not in that top tier, your share of this so-called recovery is probably zero. In fact, the wealth gap is getting worse. Financial markets rebounded, but if you’re living paycheck to paycheck, what good is that?

Let’s not forget household debt. Yes, the debt-to-income ratio has improved on paper, but that’s cold comfort when mortgage and non-mortgage borrowing just hit their highest levels since 2022. Canadians are still drowning in debt, and the housing affordability crisis is far from over.

What does all this mean? It means the people running this country have failed. They’ve failed to create policies that support the working class. They’ve failed to protect industries that actually produce real value. And they’ve failed to address the glaring disparities between the elites riding high on financial markets and everyone else stuck with rising costs, falling wages, and fewer opportunities.

This isn’t just incompetence—it’s deliberate. This is what happens when you prioritize globalist fantasies over the needs of your own citizens. It’s time for Canadians to wake up, hold these leaders accountable, and demand a government that works for the people—not against them.

https://x.com/DanKnightMMA/status/1867616736285274537