Bill Cara

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baz22

Starting to focus on rare earth companies

baz22

Current niobium production is centered in Brazil, followed by China…. China is the world’s leading producer of scandium…

Last edited 7 hours ago by baz22
dave.raj09@yahoo.com

Happy to be back in USA, I am all cash and glad I am,I spend whole day lasting and reading all post here, Market is so fascinating !!!, I remember GLW, My wife use to work for corning, stock was around $300, it went down to $100, she wanted to buy it using her 401K at corning, At that time we don’t know stock market and dont understand it so I told her not to move money into GLW, well, stock went to $1–lesson is if stock goes down than there is no bottom. she brought lots of GLW at $1 through her bi-weekly paycheck, and we are still holding it in her 401k now time comes to have force withdrawal from 401K

baz22

Thinking of dropping BTC related..

Last edited 11 hours ago by baz22
baz22

Let JNVR go premarket… Tiny profit
From $ 48-50 Thursday

Last edited 18 hours ago by baz22
baz22

Will try to start speculative position in WIMI..

baz22

Newbie UPXI control’s 4x SOL than JNVR

Last edited 10 hours ago by baz22
will law

looking at more defensive sectors.
WGS 95.47. No stock in its field has risen so far from its 52 week low. It is also in the IBD 50 and no stock in the IBD 50 has risen so far from its 52 week low. Fundamentals are strong. Casadin Capital, a Life Sciences LLC, has it as its largest position and just bought more. Quarterly earnings have been strong. Next earnings are due April 30. It’s a volatile stock.

baz22

I agree with Tom Lee and others that the Microstrategy accumulation of BTC is the first phase of a much larger plan…

Last edited 2 days ago by baz22
baz22

My feelings are this coming week, if BTC climbs, money will find where the wild things are… Mainly, MSTR and GME..
Microstrategy is lining up billions to spend… GameStop is sitting on billions in cash, with No CEO stock sales since 2020, and insider’s are buying… I like their alt-coin buying along side their BTC buys

Last edited 1 day ago by baz22
Kyle

MSTR — compression against 320-lvl like 2-April spike/rejection.

baz22

I’m reweighing more so into GME…
Had previously started in the $ 21.00’s

Last edited 2 days ago by baz22
Kyle

GME — Nice movement off the 20.75’ish Dbl-Bot. Good Stuff

Kyle

Sunday, September 11, 2011
Trade what you can read

http://blog.realitytrader.com/2011/09/trade-what-you-can-read.html *** link no longer works ***

One of the common mistakes among newer traders is the idea that a good chart reader must be able to read ANY chart – that is, be able to create trading scenario, analyze odds and so on. They tend to be surprised by “I have no idea” answer when ask an opinion about certain situation they are interested in. Yet this is my fairly frequent answer – and I don’t hesitate to give it when I see nothing recognizable in the chart I am shown.

You see, trading is not about being able to trade each and every movement. Trading is about to be able to pick the right opportunity – right in terms of YOUR trading approach, right in a sense of YOUR ability to read and understand the movement and right in a sense of fitting YOUR risk and objectives profile. What good a perfect breakout chart to you if you are a reversal trader, specializing in trend change setups and having little knowledge of and experience with trend continuation? It’s not unlike a hunter who sits patiently in his hide waiting for his prey, waiting for the right moment and acting only when everything is in place for a successful shot.

Then there are situations which present no or almost no opportunity for anyone, whatever their trading style is. If the chart is a mess with no pronounced levels, no volume clues, no clear configurations – it’s safe to assume that we are facing an uncertain situation where nervous traders flee the risk, don’t commit and engage very carefully if at all. There will be a resolution of this situation, and that’s when you will get your signals, setups will shape up and trades will come your way. Until then, feel confident in your lack of confidence – it takes a real trader to say “I don’t know.”

Good teacher teaches humility — and the market is a GREAT teacher.

To quote A Taoist Trader:

The vulgar are clever, self-assured;
I alone, depressed.
Patient as the sea,
Adrift, seemingly aimless.

It’s much more common
for a really knowledgeable experienced trader to sound reluctant, to be
unsure of the future developments and admit it openly. Knowing how
uncertain the market is, he is not so quick to express full confidence; he
accepts that events may develop in unforeseen way, and such acceptance
makes him better prepared for an unexpected turn of events. A Taoist
Trader’s plans and prognosis are usually tentative, with provisions for
various conditions. They will include many “ifs” and “buts.” He would
rather plan for multiple scenarios than put his full confidence in a single
one.

Posted by Vadym Graifer at 11:23 AM 

Kyle

ES_F — Current situation ( from https://x.com/verniman ) whose ES trades I’ve followed since 2018.

Kyle

$SPX (30min) — From my PoV SPX was only out-of-band for 4 days. Piss on It.

Kyle

baz — What did you think of the Masters???

Kyle

Reminded me of Jimmy Connors … Grabbing Defeat from the Jaws of Victory. Almost

baz22

Unbelievably great… True emotions

Kyle

Yes. You are Absolutely Right. I’ve been following Vad’s photography on Facebook for
a while now. https://www.facebook.com/vadym.graifer

But here are some archival links to his old blog posts that may be of interest.

https://uncomprehensiveness55.rssing.com/chan-24278809/all_p1.html

Last post …

https://uncomprehensiveness55.rssing.com/chan-24278809/all_p26.html#c24278809a507

Kyle

Vad Pulled the Plug 01-July-2015. Been a while.

will law

I have his book on kindle. Reading it slowly. That’s a great excerpt. Thank you

Kyle

Welcome. Vad wrote an earlier book Techniques of Tape Reading (2004). I’ll try to attach the .pdf.

Kyle
baz22

Restarted vktx

baz22

Restarted jmvr

baz22

Restarted gme

baz22

JNVR

baz22

Nibbling at BULL

baz22

Currently, JNVR control’s 4% of the Solana market

Does Solana have a max supply?
AI Overview

+1
No, Solana (SOL) does not have a fixed maximum supply like Bitcoin. Instead, Solana uses an inflationary model where new SOL tokens are gradually introduced to incentivize network validators and maintain network security. This inflation rate starts at 8% annually and decreases by 15% each year, ultimately reaching a long-term fixed rate of 1.5%. 
Here’s a more detailed explanation:
No fixed maximum supply:
Unlike Bitcoin, Solana doesn’t have a cap on the total number of SOL tokens that can be created. 
Inflationary model:
New SOL tokens are created over time to reward validators for their contributions to the network and to maintain security. 
Decreasing inflation:
The initial inflation rate of 8% decreases by 15% each year until it reaches a long-term fixed rate of 1.5%. 
Incentivizes validators:
By creating new tokens, the network rewards validators for their participation, ensuring the long-term health of the Solana ecosystem. 

Last edited 4 days ago by baz22
baz22

Sold SMX premarket… Sold MSTR.. no position’s

baz22

Entered Treasure Global today at $ 3.34… sold $ 3.81…… enter NB stock Monday ( on pre announced CEO interview on Fox/Maria April 16 ) at $ 2.55…sold $3.89 today… Entered SMX ah. tonight at $ 2.15

* maintain MSTR….

Last edited 5 days ago by baz22
baz22

Bad trade… BULL IPO.. in $ 63.12… Out $ 56.20..
That’s not the bad part – I was on that killer streak with JNVR ( from $ 28 ) and sold at $ 61…to have good funds for the WeBull trade… I had to dump BULL the ‘ morning after ‘ ( $ 56.20 )… Meanwhile, JNVR rocketed to $ 78……. Damn…..
Why’d I sell JNVR ?.. Because Canada approved it’s first Solana ETF for trade on April 16.. I should have used reverse/reverse psychology – not competition for JNVR – but more soaking up of SOL…
When the SEC _ Ripple case gets settled ( and it’s looking good ), Solana will rip

Last edited 5 days ago by baz22
baz22

Powell today.. ” “Powell also mentioned that as crypto is becoming more mainstream, there’s a need for a legal framework for stablecoins. He said that banking regulation around crypto will likely be “partially relaxed “… Coindesk

baz22

“Unsurprisingly, nominees to key positions in the new US administration (for example, Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador), Marco Rubio (now confirmed as Secretary of State), and Howard Lutnick (Commerce Secretary)) have been advocates for developing such projects in the US. Also, the House of Representatives recently asked the Defense department to conduct a feasibility study on deep sea mining.

With Steve Jurvetson, a friend of Elon Musk, on the board of directors, probabilities for both a general push into deep-sea mining and an endorsement of TMC also increase on a political level. The development of this major tailwind was also highlighted by CFO Craig Shesky in a recent interview. He also underpinned that TMC will apply for a mining license at the end of Q2 2025 and that he aims to generate revenue in Q1 2026″…. from S.A.
 
** received territorial water permission from the state of Nauru to mine…working with Glencore

Last edited 5 days ago by baz22
baz22

“TMC plans to mine polymetallic nodules in the High Seas of the Pacific Ocean – metal deposits that contain manganese, cobalt, nickel, copper, and rare earth elements. Amidst concern about critical mineral security for clean energy and national security applications, producing such a wide range of metals offers a new approach to securing mineral supply. This new sector is important geopolitically, with recent moves by China to secure mining rights to the seabed of the Cook Islands even called a “Sputnik moment” for the United States.

Over the last fifteen years, TMC has methodically de-risked its technical operations through successful pilot mining, environmental studies, and metallurgical processing tests. The company invested over $500 million on dozens of research and exploration campaigns, developing and validating its approach. As it awaits final regulatory approval it has successfully switched to a “capital-light” model in the last quarter, ready to scale rapidly and begin production once it has secured a mining license “.

Last edited 5 days ago by baz22
baz22

Several on the radar… CRSP is high on the list… Four different clinical updates by mid-year, involving Type 1 diabetes, cancer and other…
I maintain MSTR… Just in the last 3 weeks I’ve returned 140% with JNVR….last month netted 50% with APP..* ..MSTR netted 48% the past 3 weeks on roll over trades

Last edited 5 days ago by baz22
baz22

VERV had exciting news this week..
** Canada starts Solana ETF’s today – April 16

Last edited 5 days ago by baz22
will law

Loar looks good. I bought at $88.

will law

out at a 4% loss. I noticed that Abram’s capital management
. sold 2.6% of their holding of $100.52M. That doesn’t help.

baz22

Sold JNVR
Early open

Last edited 7 days ago by baz22
baz22

Adding to MSTR

baz22

Had to go back to De-Fi Development Corp ( Janover ) … possible 5+% control of SOL… currently MSTR is at 2.65 % of BTC

Last edited 7 days ago by baz22
baz22

In Webull late today

Last edited 7 days ago by baz22
baz22

Took good profits for today in jnvr

baz22

Maybe it’s time to give up my Bitcoin adventure… Oh well…

baz22

It’s now like dealing with a teenager on Prozac…to me, it will become more so as supply starts to dwindle.. mammoth hodling is happening…a couple years ago I outlined here where hodlers were… That was before Strategy and the ETF’s…. The absorption is rapid… so the tree is constantly shaking… I do see a ‘ base-ish ‘ around $ 80k… My challenge is not BTC – it’s the holding companies.. I’m sure you’ve seen the absolutely gargantuan moves in MSTR… More tame with digital miners… There are many angles and just as many stories…. I honestly didn’t think anyone was following the ‘ Traders tab ‘… Thanks

Last edited 8 days ago by baz22
baz22

” …at some point, people will come to realize they have more to fear by not embracing this technology ( Bitcoin ) than they do embracing it “… Michael Saylor
https://cointelegraph.com/news/saylor-strategy-buying-dip-amid-macroeconomic-turmoil…… ** a note – RSI turned positive Friday for the first time in weeks

Last edited 8 days ago by baz22
baz22

10-4..👍

baz22

Whatever makes life easier is appealing… Restarted smci

baz22

Eschew biotech lately, but medical device maker Rsls …

baz22

Sold later in the day ( Smci ) … Have allocated funds back into MSTR… Maintaining JNVR
I believe, as Arthur Hayes said, BTC is soon entering an ” up only mode “.. treasuries, dollar, etc will dictate that

Last edited 10 days ago by baz22
baz22

Rcat is enticing after direct offering

baz22

Had written JNVR trade last week.. it’s getting traction.. They establish a Solana reserve…back in early am today
.. https://www.coinbase.com/learn/crypto-basics/what-is-solana

Last edited 11 days ago by baz22
baz22

Out…$ 54

baz22
baz22

I have to accept that BTC is here to stay…Block is the future of finance…will I live to see it ?… Maybe not, but things change – out of necessity, whether or not we have any control..

baz22

I don’t see the ‘ greater fool ‘ theory… I see a ‘ greater investor ‘ test…

alexei

Test

nasdaq

works

baz22

But… things can’t be one side only… So trading site is good… welcome cintrast

Kyle

$BTCUSD — Took me awhile to get a banding-structure dialed in. Will need to rework later BUT BTC Lookin’ Good.

baz22

Well hell … https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/04/06/bitcoin-posts-worst-q1-in-a-decade-raising-questions-about-where-the-cycle-stands
I had grabbed MSTR at $ 238 a couple weeks back…May get the opportunity again… Looks like my BTC $ 150k April is dust… I nailed three previous moves 6 months prior in last two years… Can’t win em all…but…there will be tremendous trading opportunities in MSTR

Last edited 15 days ago by baz22
baz22

Due to corporate and ETF absorption of the existing BTC, the miners will be the ‘ buy ‘ in a year… They are hodling 3 out of 4 coins mined.. average monthly mining for MARA, CKSK, RIOT and IREN is around 550 coins… Mining machines last 7 years and pay for themselves in less than 2 years
Mara holding 44,000 BTC and buying $ 2 Billion more
The next ‘ halving ‘ is April 2028

Last edited 15 days ago by baz22
Kyle

MSTR — This is why I like Banding-Structures. On the LHS everything is fine and contained. Then Blow-Out. It’s the same in Target-Tracking (we have to use our past experience to connect with trading). Kalman-Filters. Change-Detection. Expansion of Tracking Bands.

baz22
Last edited 15 days ago by baz22
baz22

I am feeling a freedom to post what I was reluctant to do for the past year… Thanks so much for the ‘ new ‘ tab here… I hope Toby and so many others will return
There were so, so many great ideas put out on so many different areas… Did they all work out ?… Heck no, but that’s trading…
You learn to sell…You learn to buy…

Last edited 15 days ago by baz22
baz22

So WIMI is splitting 1 for 20 on April 14.. as expected the price has been driven down…..looking like the 1 for 20 will put it around $ 6.00… what a lovely area to rip like MLGO recently, being that WIMI ( parent to MLGO ) now owns 68% of MLGO…
Trust me… these boys are Big into quantum computing and accompanying algorithms

Last edited 15 days ago by baz22
Kyle

baz — We’ve GOT to Get BACK to this FREE FLOW Discussion/Conversation FLOW.

We all have different backgrounds / perspectives

WTH Knows how it will will go. BUT Let it ROLL!!!

Cheers

baz22

Starting NVDA

baz22

Excellent day
Crwv… JNVR

Last edited 14 days ago by baz22
baz22

Sobr Safe… April is alcohol awareness month… Position in- afternoon today
* concerning BTC miners and HPC data power… I’ve elected to go with a pure BTC miner.. early ?… …Maybe, maybe not
** still waiting on review) ratings at Apov…..Per Miley – ‘ I can talk to myself for hours ‘..!!
Sold JNVR in low $ 40’s..( in at $ 26’s )

Last edited 14 days ago by baz22
baz22

Riot, Mara and IREN are not pure play crypto miners

baz22

…will be patient..🤔

Last edited 13 days ago by baz22
Kyle

That’s Special … Cheers

Kyle

Thought I posted some charts over here BUT as the song says
“They Come and GO!!!”

baz22

Started buys in MSTR tonight

baz22

Looking for $ 193 to buy.. $ 211 could be stopping point.. MSTR
** if disputes resolved before tomorrow open, I have a good position to add to going up

Last edited 13 days ago by baz22
Alexei

baz22 i think you should post in the top section so your more recent comments come first

baz22

Thanks Alexei… I keep getting booted off ‘ logged in ‘ to logged out… So I just picked up Whittier left off – below previous

Kyle

I post charts here on the ‘Trader’s tab’ and they’re gone.
I post charts on the ‘Investor’s tab’ and they duplicate.
Sorry — Don’t Know What’s Going On …

baz22

Studying nat gas power for data centers… 9 MW is about standard… New kids on the block…will update soon…Best to ya

Last edited 12 days ago by baz22
baz22

Nevermind… Did exit MSTR at $ 301 from after market buys last night ). but will be back… Focusing on select crypto miners… Started a strong position in GME ( Most funds tied up in Strategy till exit today )

Last edited 12 days ago by baz22