Bill Cara

Help You Invest

Is now the time to buy Gold?

I received an article written by a top quality technical analyst suggesting (the opinion was pretty general) that Gold was very close to a cyclical break-out. I responded: article looks good… prec metals showing some buyers coming back, but I think this is mostly in combo with copper, zinc, and

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Baytex Energy: an attractive BUY ?

This stock is not for the faint of heart. I cannot predict its volatility in the future but I can examine its return potential over multiple time-frames and should I buy or already own the stock currently ( as Bill does ) , I can always manage the risk around

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WMA Cara Report for week ending July 28, 2017

  Euro Zone Equities Looking Worrisome   In late April, Euro Zone equity indexes gapped higher as investors released a huge sigh of relieve that Emmanuel Macron gained the upper hand in the French presidential election over sovereignist candidate Marine Le Pen. The Euro Zone equity rally continued two-weeks, ending

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WMA Cara Report for week ending July 21, 2017

Commodity Currencies Looking Attractive   Between 2012 and 2016 the commodity currencies – the Australian dollar (AUD), the Canadian dollar (CAD), and the South African Rand (ZAR) – suffered through gruesome bear markets relative to the U.S. dollar (USD) due to a confluence of factors. First, commodity prices collapsed during

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The Engineering of Outcomes

I like the concern shown in the ‘Small News; Big Moves’ article today. https://www.investing.com/analysis/beware:-in-today’s-fickle-oil-market,-small-news-can-drive-big-moves-200201951 But I think the writer might have spent more time explaining the ‘pump’ phenomenon than what was her focus on current oil price trader sentiment. I say this because price pump and dump seems to be the

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Navigating the bear downtrend

Whether or not this is a correction within a bull market or the beginning of a bear market, if you are a swing trader like myself, it does not really matter. For me, when the market is below the downtrend line (in my P&F world, this is the “bearish resistance

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WMA Cara Report for week ending July 14, 2017

  U.S. Equity Indexes To Wimper Higher   With the approach of the seasonally difficult period of August to October, many investors are understandably worried about some form of equity correction. After all, it has been over a year since we have seen over two consecutive significant down days (Brexit,

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WMA Cara Report for week ending July 7, 2017

  The Statistical Odds of a Seasonal Equity Correction   As most readers know, equity markets are arriving at a seasonally unfavourable period. Traditionally equity markets “take a breather” in the third quarter before blasting off again for the ubiquitous year-end rally. Additionally, the August to October period has notoriously

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WMA Cara Report for week ending June 30, 2017

  Hindenburg+ Indicator: Time To Bail?   As we close out the first half of 2017, equity markets have managed to defy gravity, mediocre economic conditions, company fundamentals and rich valuations. U.S. equity markets has prolonged a historically long period of suppressed volatility (VIX), as the S&P 500 has truly

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WMA Cara Report for week ending June 23, 2017

  The Federal Reserve: Dismal Failure or Shrewd Complicity?   Following the June Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, Janet Yellen spelled out in greater detail the central bank’s plans to start slowly shrinking its $4.5 trillion portfolio of bonds and other assets this year. Recall that the U.S. Federal

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