May 24, 2025 The proof is undeniable—the Trump presidency is off to a disastrous start. Inbound tourism has fallen sharply. Retail purchases of US goods are being boycotted in multiple countries. International trade and military agreements that deliberately exclude America are accumulating. In this week’s Navigator Report #20, I show
May 21, 2025 Trump is reportedly considering an executive order enabling private equity firms to access the nearly $9 trillion US retirement savings market directly, specifically through 401(k) plans. If enacted, the order would instruct key regulatory agencies—including the Department of Labor, the Treasury, and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)—to
May 18, 2025 This extensive 660-page report, Bill Cara’s Global Markets Weekly Navigator Report, analyzes the state of global markets as of May 18, 2025, offering guidance on navigating economic uncertainty. It assesses recession risks, particularly in the US, and the impact of political factors like trade policies and debt downgrades on market performance. The
May 14, 2025 Historical parallels suggest that financial markets can rebound strongly from severe downturns, though not all recoveries evolve into sustained bull markets. The 2025 Market Recovery: A Rare but Resilient Phenomenon After plunging more than 15% from January 1 to April 8, the S&P 500 has recouped its
May 14, 2025 This week, former President Donald Trump announced a series of high-profile business ventures in the Middle East, including a $400 million aircraft deal, real estate developments (golf courses and high-rises), and cryptocurrency initiatives tied to his family. The scale and timing of these agreements have drawn bipartisan scrutiny in Washington,
May 4, 2025 A New Era of Global Economic Confrontation The world economy is increasingly shaped by state-driven power plays, and investors must adapt to an environment defined not just by market fundamentals but by aggressive policy shifts, geopolitical anxiety, and systemic realignment. The return of the Trump administration has
May 1, 2025 Key Question: Are the Q3 FY2025 AI-driven results fundamentally strong enough to justify a +9% stock surge (~$300B market cap gain)? 1. Why the Market is Reacting So Positively The +9% pre-market jump (adding ~$300B in market cap) reflects three major AI-driven catalysts: A. Azure AI Growth Acceleration (33% YoY vs. 29% Last Quarter)
April 25, 2025 (Estimates in USD, based on latest disclosures, TIC data, and annual reports) Institution Country Total US Assets US Equities US Bonds/Fixed Income Other US Assets (Real Estate, Alternatives) Notes Norges Bank Investment Mgmt (NBIM) Norway ~450–450–500B ~350–350–400B ~50–50–100B Minimal World’s largest SWF; heavy focus on US tech
April 24, 2025 I evaluated candidates using the following metrics: strong corporate fundamentals, a wide economic moat, dividend consistency, economic resilience, a long-term outlook, sector diversity, and a global perspective. All companies must trade in the US (including on the OTC market) as well as on their domestic exchanges, ensuring
April 24, 2025 A multi-million-dollar TV campaign in Mexico by US Homeland Security is (a) being stopped by the Mexican government, and (b) going viral worldwide, causing many countries to file US travel warnings. The ‘We will hunt you down’ theme, and the evidence that some innocent travelers have been
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