Bill Cara

Help You Invest

Evaluating the US-China Tariff War: My Perspective as an Investment Analyst

April 15, 2025 The United States’ economic strengths, including its deep credit market, robust financial system, and the dollar’s global reserve status, provide a solid foundation for resolving economic disputes, as it has done effectively for 80 years. However, a tariff war with China introduces complexities that challenge the notion

Read More »

The Escalating US-China Tariff War: Global Port Chaos, Supply Chain Disruptions, and Strategic Risks for Investors

April 14, 2025 Introduction The Trump administration’s proposed $1–1.5 million fee per port call on Chinese-built vessels—a direct strike at China’s shipbuilding dominance—has thrust the US-China trade war into uncharted territory. Coupled with existing tit-for-tat tariffs (145% US tariffs on Chinese imports; 125% Chinese retaliatory levies), this policy has triggered

Read More »

Trader vs. Investor: Different Mindsets for Different Roles

April 10, 2025 Over the years, I’ve observed that the world of finance is split into two distinct groups: traders and investors. Many articles on the subject still follow the old sell-side narrative, missing the true difference. In my view, the most important distinction lies in how each participant is

Read More »

“Economic Nuclear War,” says Bill Ackman: Trump’s 104% Tariffs and China’s Retaliation Are Roiling Global Markets

Wednesday, April 9, 2025 Investors are Bracing for Volatility as Trade War Escalates—Here’s How to Protect Your Portfolio It’s not a good day for investors worldwide. Following former President Trump’s latest tariff hike—taking the total to a staggering 104% on US imports of Chinese goods—China has retaliated with an 84% tariff on

Read More »

Country by Country Investment Guidance as Trump’s Tariffs Take Effect

April 8, 2025 A few days ago, I published a comprehensive report on my analysis of the Trump tariffs. Today, I will provide detailed but general advice to institutional clients. The Trump ‘America First’ policy regarding international trade will have an enormous impact on the worldwide economy. The 15-18% annualized

Read More »

The Rise of Pierre Poilievre: A Turning Point in Canadian Politics

April 8, 2025 Today marks the first time I’ve truly felt that Pierre Poilievre is poised to become Canada’s next Prime Minister. One glance at former Prime Minister Stephen Harper on the campaign trail solidified this belief. Under Harper’s leadership, Canada was an economic powerhouse, leading the OECD in growth,

Read More »

Making Sense of Market Chaos: The Mag-7 Bear Market and What Comes Next

April 7, 2025 The market’s recent movements have been chaotic, with conflicting signals across major indices. Headlines scream “Bear Market,” but the reality is more nuanced. Here’s how to make sense of it all. The Misleading Broad Market Narrative The S&P 500 and NASDAQ’s daily results can be deceptive. While

Read More »

The Significance of Today’s Multiple Point & Figure Double Bottom Breakdowns

April 3, 2025 When multiple Point & Figure (P&F) charts show double bottom breakdowns simultaneously, as happened this morning, it signals that large-scale selling by institutional investors is overwhelming market demand. Significant additional declines usually follow this bearish trend in stock prices. Why It Matters A Clear Signal of Weakness

Read More »