Bill Cara

Help You Invest

Hindenburg takes down Adani, but I have reason to be doubtful.

February 2, 2023 A few days after the Hindenburg short-selling report was published (and copied here minutes later), the seven stocks in the Adani Group dropped $100 billion. The Group’s $2.5 capital raise has been suspended. https://www.cnbc.com/2023/02/02/adani-losses-top-100-billion-in-wake-of-hindenburg-research-report.html I have read on Reddit a posting that Hindenburg has undisputed wins where

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Why I am so hostile to banks and the Fed.

January 16, 2023 Banks are fiduciaries (guardians in a trust relationship) that have been enabled to also promote and sell all manner of financial products and services to them. With full knowledge of the client’s strengths and weaknesses, they also trade their capital against their captured client, which gives them

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The Fed’s independence is under attack.

January 15, 2023 This writer’s article presents a point of view. I have my own. https://www.ino.com/blog/2023/01/jerome-powells-declaration-of-independence/#more-58122 I also argue against the Fed being pressured by political platforms like Climate, Inclusion, and ESG. But Fed Chair Powell bringing that up is a false flag that, in essence, is his argument for

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A list of brilliant articles from Quantpedia.com.

January 10, 2023   Here is a treasure trove of educational articles from Quantpedia. Enjoy.   https://quantpedia.com/quantum-computing-as-the-means-to-algorithmic-trading/   https://quantpedia.com/stock-returns-vs-inflation-expectations/   https://quantpedia.com/100-years-of-historical-market-cycles/   https://quantpedia.com/a-balanced-portfolio-and-trend-following-during-different-market-states/   https://quantpedia.com/factors-performance-during-various-market-cycles/   https://quantpedia.com/defining-market-cycles-out-of-sample/   A plug for Quantpedia.com: https://quantpedia.com/pricing/

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My Vision for 2023

January 1, 2023 More decisions are made this year-end holiday weekend than at any other time. Every decision is based on a vision of the future. Tonight, I’ll keep mine simple. I see that 2023 will be the year of the Gold Bull. Gold cash and futures trading reached a

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Are Analyst Consensus Ratings Helpful?

December 30, 2022 While I use analyst ratings in making decisions — at least to a small degree — I have serious doubts at every year-end. This year, in particular, has been a downer with substantial losses in the stock prices of many high-quality companies. Timing is always an issue.

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Should you invest in Tesla right now?

December 17, 2022 Market technicians report that TSLA is oversold and has hit bottom, showing a head-and-shoulders reversal pattern or a cup-and-handle pattern, take your pick. The usual suspects on CNBC are recommending a Buy. To all this, I say nonsense. The facts tell me that Tesla has a problematic

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Updated notes to the Cara 100 (January 1, 2023)

December 12, 2022 Notes Based on Financial Statement Analysis of Cara 100 Companies To help investors select a relatively small group of high-quality companies to study, I created the Cara 100 list. The components usually, but not always, are industry leaders in corporate fundamentals like balance sheet strength and operating

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