I don’t understand what is to be gained by such rhetoric.
Consider for a moment that you were someone in my position—or maybe someone like me who is an ultra-nationalist. If we really wanted Greenland, we would disparage Denmark’s support of it and offer economic incentives.
Threatening military action is absolutely counterproductive.
Look at Canada. It seems that Trump is essentially galvanizing the Canadian people and uniting them under Carney (whom I assess as a more competent/more dangerous carbon copy of Trudeau).
If we had started talking of tariffs with an underlying level of mutual respect and respect for sovereignty, it would seem that conservatives/Pollievre would have a better shot at obtaining power. Both economies could prosper. It’s not a zero-sum game.
Rant over. No response necessary. Thanks for letting me vent. Back to work.
Trump’s Tariffs….. The US tried it in 1938-39, it failed…world more complicated equalization- leveling of tariffs could have been achieved without this collateral damage and ‘bad taste’…. Trump’s comments on Canada – Greenland are beyond stupid, endorsing Russia’s occupation of Ukraine.
His row with WHO-UNESCO etc. sit down and discuss…. Yes US should not be paying 4-5 times more fees than China…agreed.
Trump’s unilateralism and interference are annoying most of the world…. The EU no longer sees the US as friendly…. They will feel it, and Tourism will dry up…
I detest his attitude everyone who doesn’t agree is the village idiot I am going to do it anyway. What if the Native Indians turned on the US government and demanded their lands back? Repay all US Gov gained from us of their lands from seizures etc?
Yes, massive waste in the US…. Don’t blame the world, blame Congress.
Supported but now disillusioned, but the fall will come…. After mid-terms, Congress-Senate will be strangled…
Does anyone have a good Index/ETF/Stock Xcorrelation estimator??? I can’t seem to find the one I used to use. Was curious abt the $SPX -vs- BITCOIN Xcorr. Best I can find right now is
I combined your analysis from Help You Invest entitled “The Impact of Tariffs on the Global Economy: A Comprehensive Analysis” along with the latest report from the Office of United States Trade Representative entitled “USTR Releases 2025 National Trade Estimate Report”. “The NTE is an annual report detailing foreign trade barriers faced by U.S. exporters and USTR’s efforts to reduce those barriers” https://ustr.gov/about/policy-offices/press-office/press-releases/2025/march/ustr-releases-2025-national-trade-estimate-report
I’m going to say my peace and then I’m done… I came to this site almost 20 years ago – and worked endlessly and learned like many here… I like to kid around but I am deadly serious on my trades .. I disappoint some, I anger others, as they sometimes anger me.. But I will tell All of you this… I have lost Everything – Twice – because of bad trades… I mean Everything..My house, my wife, my money…… I’ve lived in the basement of the golf club for one year… I’ve lived in a friend’s abandoned house with no running water for Three years… In my truck for Six months…I have severe health issues from Agent Orange in Vietnam in 1971 when I was with the First Cavalry Air Mobile…So regardless of what people may think, Trades are no laughing matter for me…I make it a point of personal pride and being a man not to ridicule or question others trades… If they believe in them, that’s their choice…if they can post them for the world to see, then I honor them and support their courage…Who am I, of all people, to cast stones ?
Aloha bazz When I was in high school I wrote a speech and read it to the class disputing the Domino Theory of that era. Not to resounding applause. You guys lived it and those who served are the heroes. All the best Mahalo nui loa
There will be a cycle bottom, and the cream will rise.
Google’s Gemini 2.5 Pro becomes #1 ranked model: I agree. It’s fantastic.
OpenAI’s $40B funding round confirmed at $300B valuation: Probably fair.
OpenAI adds image generation to GPT-4o. They had problems earlier today because Alexei couldn’t generate the image for the #12 Navigator Report, but GPT-4o is an excellent platform.
Apple places $1B bet on Nvidia AI servers: They are the best.
xAI and X officially merge in $113B mega-deal: I couldn’t care less.
Alphabet (GOOGL), Apple, and NVIDIA are in my Global Best 50.
Ten of the Dow 30 are in this Global Best 50 Company list.
After the market crashes and most of the usual market cheerleaders are despondent, newcomers to securities investing who buy these ten in the Dow 30, download and understand the free Value Line reports, and turn off CNBC and X, will be successful investors.
The people we read who say they have excellent sources about ABC, or whatever, and fail to explain anything, are cheerleaders, destined for failure.
Andrew Williams is out as CEO of New Pacific Metals.
How pathetic that the man who decided to go behind the curtain rather than stay as Chairman of the Board or an officer of the company is still pulling the strings and cannot be sued for the nonsense happening to this company.
Andrew Williams is a good man. He deserves better. He will go on to better career choices.
New Pacific Metals Announces Executive Changes
March 31, 2025, Vancouver, British Columbia – New Pacific Metals Corp. (TSX: NUAG; NYSE American: NEWP) (“New Pacific” or the “Company”) announces that Andrew Williams will be stepping down as Chief Executive Officer (“CEO”) and Director of the company effective April 15. The Company also announces that it has appointed Jalen Yuan, the Company’s current Chief Financial Officer (“CFO”), as interim CEO. Chester Xie, the Company’s current financial controller, has been appointed interim CFO. Mr. Yuan has been the CFO of the Company for 10 years and has deep knowledge of our Bolivian operations, providing continuity during this transition.
I still expect Pan American (PAAS) to buy out this company’s assets for a price that will never be properly disclosed.
I asked Alexei to remove the report he had posted because there are so many sections that I failed to correct after losing 8 hours of work yesterday and trying to fix it in maybe 4 hours last night — four hours when I wasn’t in the best mood.
The corrected report 2025-12 will be posted tomorrow. This afternoon I have other business to take care of.
First, I have not opened this site since 7:19 pm ET on Friday, so if anybody thinks I removed anything or even read anything, they are wrong.
I have been working on Navigator Report 12 since around 2 pm Friday. I worked straight through until 2 am Saturday. Then I was back at it at 6:30 am Saturday until past midnight, with 2 hours off to watch the Leafs in LA. Then I worked from 7 am today until a late lunch. When I returned from lunch, I unintentionally hit a key that crashed my system.
To say I am exhausted is an understatement. To say I think much about the nonsense I see published here today is even less. I couldn’t care less because this website will be changing soon.
The decision I have to make is whether to close the computer now and fail to publish the Navigator Report 12 that I cannot have worked harder to get done and which looked like it would be the best yet. I just lost all the work done for the past nine hours when my system crashed, and I mistakenly reloaded yesterday’s file from the auto recovery file (and deleted the temp file).
I have spent the past two hours checking everything to recover an unsaved file. It was unsaved because my system has a sync problem between the desktop, documents, and the cloud — on files this size, e.g., 27 MB Navigator reports. Now, my latest work has been overwritten.
So, guys, I am not in the mood to laugh at your nonsense—if you believe it, great—because I have a bigger issue. This Navigator Report 12 was to be the last one before I finalize a deal to partner with an organization to manage everything I do. It would have been a report that met my standards for professionalism.
And now I am too tired to finish, but not too tired to wish many of you goodbye. Find your own place to diddle one another.
i am 75 year old, I can say with experience that more busy you are, work more and work hard , you will feel younger,energetic and life full fun, thank you for everything you are doing
It can for me..and whoever chooses to enter. I’m a very small fish in a sea of whales… Trump will cave …I believe the Market as a whole will explode up…
IDK … Here’s IBIT … Somewhere along the way I learned the value of drawing TL’s off Donchian-block corners and to NOT Swing My Thing TOOOOO Wildly Before That TL Broke. Just my 2cents.
I agree, Trump will cave, they all remember that in midterm Obama’s democrat lost over 100 seat in house, If trump’s republican don’t shape up–they may lose more than 100?????
Your projection was $150K, so go bet your entire account. This lack of professionalism greatly disappoints me after what we accomplished together over many years.
Ninety seconds into this video, Canada’s Prime Minister says the relationship between Canada, militarily and economically …”is over.”
Canada is the biggest source of tourism to the US, and February is the big month. This February, Canadian travel to the US dropped -70%. I don’t know a Canadian willing to go to the US now, other than to sell a second home or business.
I don’t know a Canadian now who knowingly buys American products at the stores. The boycott is universal.
Mark Carney accurately described the relationship between the two countries when he said, with a pause for effect, “It’s over.” Think about that. He gave a formal speech to the country, telling Canadians, “It’s over” between Canada and the US.
A few months ago, I never would have believed I’d hear those words in my lifetime.
Canada will now turn to the UK, Europe, Australia, and Japan for friendship, trade, and military relationships. In reply, Trump says, “Don’t you dare!” He says it like a child.
Well, Canada will. It will also cut off essential goods and services that Americans need. A week after “Liberation Day,” American factories will be shutting down. It’s all because America voted for a totalitarian state, a dictator who does not believe in the rule of law, who threatens the world with the all-powerful US military.
I have said this before: the only way Trump can win his war is to start and finish a world war. I’m not certain that bonespurs has the guts to go to war against the Allied nations that stand behind Canada and the rule of law.
Hitler did. Musk would try. Let’s see how far Trump will go.
Whatever the case, Americans will face a tough few months, but I don’t think they are ready to tell Canada that “it’s over.”
This morning, I mentioned the $NYA dropping from 19828 (the Nov 6 post-election result welcoming Trump’s return to the Presidency). After all, he promised the stock market would soar. Today, the New York Stock Exchange Composite closed at around 19270. That’s a loss of over -2.8%. The NASDAQ has plunged from 18983 to 17323, losing 8.74%. When combining the relative sizes of the market caps of both exchanges, where the NASDAQ is slightly larger, the average percent loss since Trump’s 2024 election is 5.6% or about $3.493 trillion.
For all those who think Trump’s a smart guy, think again. He’s a $3.5 trillion loser, and wait until next week.
His DJT was over $51 two weeks after he was elected. It’s under $19 now. How many Trumpers does it take before they admit getting fleeced?
It’s time to demand accountability. Threatening Iran and Greenland today and saying he intends to help the people in Bangkok, where a building collapsed, doesn’t cut it.
Looks like everything is going according to plan. When Trump left office (after the corrupt election), SPX_3800 was roughly the level. After the Inflation Reduction Act (i.e., the Get Biden Re-Elected Act) of Aug-2022, they were able to get it up to ATH SPX_6147.
IMHO, Trump views that run-up as being Biden / Pelosi / Schumer ‘Scooby Doo Bucks’ that are easily BURNT to get these Tariffs in place. It’s All Good ….
I tried to attach a chart in a previous post. Not sure if it will survive this time either.
I’m already lining up my bets…that Tuesday will be a big nothing burger… No Chicken Little here.. *.. Bluebird ( aka ‘ black box ‘ Talen Sickle Cell treatment ) gets buyout offer
Per MLGO… As WIMI was the ‘ parent ‘ company of MLGO, it now control’s 68% of the outstanding shares with a ten year lockup…. Why is WIMI not moving in tandem with MicroAlgo shares ?… WIMI has an upcoming 1 for 20 stock split scheduled for this Tuesday…
I think you will understand the ‘ end game ‘… Most fascinating outline of one person’s business vision I’ve ever heard. It’s worth the time… Hosted by Guy Adami.. Be well …..https://youtu.be/dc9T9POb50A?si=4zj7mOrsUoC9UMnQ
Remember…Editas put their Excellent, and Safe, ex vivo crispr Sickle Cell trial ( phase 2-3 ) on hold to conserve resources for in vivo work on Sickle Cell.. It most definitely would be for sale at the right price. ** yes, I restarted a major Edit position late today
Copper at an ATH but Basic Materials sector remains weak; that includes iron ore, aluminum, and chemicals. Atlanta Fed predicting negative growth in Q1 GDP (-2.8% however seems a ridiculously wrong and shocking number). Inflation Feb PCE came in at 2.8%. Consumer sentiment v. poor. #stagflation
The US stock market has been down since the election.
Trump campaigned on the promise that the market would rally with him in office but would crash if Harris and Walz were elected.
The New York Stock Exchange closed on November 6 at 19828 and looked firm. Today $NYA is 19534, and looking like it’s about to collapse because of Trump’s dubious Executive Orders.
He said that he would ensure that prices were cut the day he took office. They have gone up. Today’s PCE data is looking like consumer inflation could rise to 4-5% this year. At the same time, the economy is weakening. Stagflation is anything but market friendly. It’s no wonder that Trump would rather talk about Greenland and Canada.
The “core” Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, which strips out food and energy costs and is closely watched by the central bank, rose 0.4% from the prior month during February, above economists’ expectations for a 0.3% increase. The reading was higher than the 0.3% increase seen in January.
Core prices rose 2.8% over the prior year, above Wall Street’s expectations of 2.7% and higher than the 2.6% seen in January.
“We expect tariffs to slow real spending growth and push up prices in the coming months,” Oxford deputy chief US economist Michael Pearce wrote in a note to clients on Friday.
Lululemon (LULU) investors enjoyed a Double Top Breakout on Monday’s Daily data Point and figure chart.
Then, 10 minutes before yesterday’s close, there was an enormous increase in sell orders as the stock wobbled into the close.
Following the Trump tariff talk after yesterday’s close, investors selling in LULU followed through. The stock has gone no bid. LULU is down over $40 (-12%). Investors are telling Trump they have had enough. Why take the risk?
The Daily data Pivot Points on the LULU chart show S2 (lowest support) was at $315. The stock is presently $299. If today’s close does not exceed $315, that will be the new resistance level, and LULU investors will be looking for a safe haven in the storm. Who knows how low that will be.
Consumer sentiment data in the future will not be pretty.
Oil sands giant Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) lost 23 cents to $55.29 on 4.3 million shares. Its name was in the news today as Rongsheng Petrochemical, China’s largest independent refiner, opened a Canadian office — in Calgary — and promptly made its first purchase, from Suncor. The crude is set to arrive in China in June, according to Reuters. The report did not specify the size of the cargo.
The move underscores Rongsheng’s rising interest in Canadian crude. While this marks its first purchase since opening a Canadian office, the Chinese mega-refiner has bought Canadian crude before; in fact it has been a repeat customer since the opening of the expanded Trans Mountain pipeline last year. It made headlines after buying its first TMX cargo, 500,000 barrels, via a tender from France’s TotalEnergies in June. Even bigger purchases followed in August, including 1.65 million barrels from Exxon’s Kearl Lake project, along with two 550,000-barrel cargoes from Totsa (TotalEnergies’ trading arm). Traders have been watching these deals closely to gauge Asian appetite for Canadian crude. Rongsheng’s move to open a local office and buy from a local producer, Suncor, is being taken as a sign of strengthening Sino-Canadian ties, especially in the current environment of U.S. tariff concerns.
Fellow oil sands giant Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. (CNQ) lost 41 cents to $44.28 on 18.9 million shares. It was in a different but no less favourable spotlight today, one that was helpfully amplified by The Globe and Mail, which covered boosterish commentary from RBC analyst Greg Pardy. In a new research note, Mr. Pardy said he met with Canadian Natural’s executives and came away with a “reinforced [sense of] confidence in the company’s outlook and how it runs its business.” He was particularly enraptured by the company’s low costs and “best-in-class” operations. These help serve as a “bedrock of its financial resiliency to any number of external shocks,” from oil price volatility to tariff hostility.
The vote of confidence in Canadian Natural’s general outlook comes as investors await an update on what the near-term outlook will look like. In January, the company entered an asset swap arrangement with Shell, saying it expected to close the deal “by the end of Q1” and revise its guidance at the same time. Hints of a potential delay came in early March, when Canadian Natural quietly tweaked the timeline to “the first half of 2025.” Now, via the ever-helpful Mr. Pardy, the company’s executives have communicated that closing — and new guidance — is not expected until next quarter.
An unfazed Mr. Pardy did not let the delay dim his enthusiasm for what he called “our favourite senior producer in Canada.” He reiterated his rating of “outperform,” kept his price target at $63 and continued to give the stock a prominent place on his “Global Energy Best Ideas” list. (As investors may wish to note, there is another list — the fine-print list of mandatory disclosures — laying out the cozy ties between Canadian Natural and Mr. Pardy’s employer, RBC. The bank is a shareholder, market-maker, and paid provider of various banking and non-banking services.)
Readers of my Global Market Navigator Report know that last week, I mentioned the start of the newly curated list called Bill Cara’s Global Best 50. It’s much closer to finishing this week, but it’s still two weeks away. Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ) made the global top 50. It was close with Enbridge (ENB), but with Enbridge delivering 58% of Canada’s total oil & gas exports to the US, and Trump making decisions the way he does, I am reluctant to risk adding this terrific company to my Best 50 list — even though two-thirds of Enbridge’s delivery is the heavy oil that US refiners must have.
Enbridge pipelines are fixed, but Canadian Natural can move its product to China at better rates than what the US sells for.
MEG Energy, Tourmaline, Imperial, upstream jewels; Keyera and Pembina have a place with Enbridge for midstream; have owned CNQ and Suncor in the past and done well (Suncor feels fully priced at the moment). If all this tariff BS hadn’t started would own all of them. I’ve since reduced exposure to oil.
Personal mail from a disgusted American
Sorry, I have to vent to someone.
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/trump-says-nothing-table-obtaining-greenland
I don’t understand what is to be gained by such rhetoric.
Consider for a moment that you were someone in my position—or maybe someone like me who is an ultra-nationalist. If we really wanted Greenland, we would disparage Denmark’s support of it and offer economic incentives.
Threatening military action is absolutely counterproductive.
Look at Canada. It seems that Trump is essentially galvanizing the Canadian people and uniting them under Carney (whom I assess as a more competent/more dangerous carbon copy of Trudeau).
If we had started talking of tariffs with an underlying level of mutual respect and respect for sovereignty, it would seem that conservatives/Pollievre would have a better shot at obtaining power. Both economies could prosper. It’s not a zero-sum game.
Rant over. No response necessary. Thanks for letting me vent. Back to work.
Personal mail today from the Bahamas
Trump’s Tariffs….. The US tried it in 1938-39, it failed…world more complicated equalization- leveling of tariffs could have been achieved without this collateral damage and ‘bad taste’…. Trump’s comments on Canada – Greenland are beyond stupid, endorsing Russia’s occupation of Ukraine.
His row with WHO-UNESCO etc. sit down and discuss…. Yes US should not be paying 4-5 times more fees than China…agreed.
Trump’s unilateralism and interference are annoying most of the world…. The EU no longer sees the US as friendly…. They will feel it, and Tourism will dry up…
I detest his attitude everyone who doesn’t agree is the village idiot I am going to do it anyway. What if the Native Indians turned on the US government and demanded their lands back? Repay all US Gov gained from us of their lands from seizures etc?
Yes, massive waste in the US…. Don’t blame the world, blame Congress.
Supported but now disillusioned, but the fall will come…. After mid-terms, Congress-Senate will be strangled…
Massive losses in the NASDAQ 100
I attached a list of the 20 biggest losers over 1 week. Sixteen of the 20 are below their 200-day Moving Average. These are serious losses.
Does anyone have a good Index/ETF/Stock Xcorrelation estimator??? I can’t seem to find the one I used to use. Was curious abt the $SPX -vs- BITCOIN Xcorr. Best I can find right now is
https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com/asset-correlations#analysisResults
using Tickers ‘SPY IBIT’ & ‘Daily’ & ’60 Trading Days’
yielding 0.41
Here’s another one …
https://www.etfscreen.com/corrsym.php?s=SPY
BITCOIN seems to be rolling in ~0.47-0.46
& SPROT 0.36 , 0.28 , 0.11
using ‘Find in page’ tool
Wall St will say if you sell you will miss the biggest rallies.
Be very careful. Context. 🥷👇
Intraday breadth rolling over. 12:30pm
The audio discussion of the impact of Trump’s tariffs
https://notebooklm.google.com/notebook/8a8bc9a0-8284-4a74-b490-985726459b07/audio 18:59
I did hours of research and published my report at Help You Invest.
https://billcara.com/help-you-invest/the-impact-of-tariffs-on-the-global-economy-a-comprehensive-analysis/
The audio puts it into words that the average person can easily understand. There is no need to read the nonsense published on social media.
Nice work!
How quickly will tariff inflation lead to deflation after demand collapses? 1 month? 1 qtr? 1 yr? A decade?
I combined your analysis from Help You Invest entitled “The Impact of Tariffs on the Global Economy: A Comprehensive Analysis” along with the latest report from the Office of United States Trade Representative entitled “USTR Releases 2025 National Trade Estimate Report”. “The NTE is an annual report detailing foreign trade barriers faced by U.S. exporters and USTR’s efforts to reduce those barriers”
https://ustr.gov/about/policy-offices/press-office/press-releases/2025/march/ustr-releases-2025-national-trade-estimate-report
https://notebooklm.google.com/notebook/4bf801be-907a-455c-af04-debba03a48ca/audio
That ustr document was enlightening. Thanks for posting.
The audio file takes a long time to load. I think many people will not wait that long. Maybe Alexei can do something to speed up the download.
It’s disappointing to me because this is a very good explanation of my report.
Bill — I listened to ~4min of this and then shut it off. I don’t believe this is going to work.
Back in the 60’s there was a story about someone going to brief SECDEF Robert McNamara on whatever and the briefer didn’t provide a paper copy to him.
His response was
“Don’t EVER Do This Again — I CAN READ FASTER THAN YOU CAN TALK”
The US broad market is on the ledge.
Descending Triple Bottom Breakdown yesterday.
To deny Trump’s responsibility is to ignore reality.
What a coincidence. I shared similar sentiment via mag 7 p&f charts
https://www.notyouradvisor.com/p/best-apple-in-the-cart
I’m going to say my peace and then I’m done… I came to this site almost 20 years ago – and worked endlessly and learned like many here… I like to kid around but I am deadly serious on my trades .. I disappoint some, I anger others, as they sometimes anger me.. But I will tell All of you this… I have lost Everything – Twice – because of bad trades… I mean Everything..My house, my wife, my money…… I’ve lived in the basement of the golf club for one year… I’ve lived in a friend’s abandoned house with no running water for Three years… In my truck for Six months…I have severe health issues from Agent Orange in Vietnam in 1971 when I was with the First Cavalry Air Mobile…So regardless of what people may think, Trades are no laughing matter for me…I make it a point of personal pride and being a man not to ridicule or question others trades… If they believe in them, that’s their choice…if they can post them for the world to see, then I honor them and support their courage…Who am I, of all people, to cast stones ?
You have always had my respect. Nam (65-66).
And my Respect as well. I found this site ~this time Apr/May 2005. Been a LOT of Changes since then. Be Well & Stay SAFE. Cheers Kyle
Aloha bazz
When I was in high school I wrote a speech and read it to the class disputing the Domino Theory of that era. Not to resounding applause.
You guys lived it and those who served are the heroes.
All the best
Mahalo nui loa
Tooth paste, soup, soda, cigarettes, orange juice, and utilities led today. Be wary.
https://notebooklm.google.com/notebook/9be2dd18-c3cf-43a6-a2ad-15dc4967e5b9/audio
I heard the last link didn’t work, but I took a photo of the system page after I approved the link to be shared with anybody.
So, I have done it again.
Please someone let me know if it works.
It is working using this link
Yes, the link worked for me also. Thank you.
Big things happened this week in AI.
There will be a cycle bottom, and the cream will rise.
Alphabet (GOOGL), Apple, and NVIDIA are in my Global Best 50.
Ten of the Dow 30 are in this Global Best 50 Company list.
After the market crashes and most of the usual market cheerleaders are despondent, newcomers to securities investing who buy these ten in the Dow 30, download and understand the free Value Line reports, and turn off CNBC and X, will be successful investors.
The people we read who say they have excellent sources about ABC, or whatever, and fail to explain anything, are cheerleaders, destined for failure.
Andrew Williams is out as CEO of New Pacific Metals.
How pathetic that the man who decided to go behind the curtain rather than stay as Chairman of the Board or an officer of the company is still pulling the strings and cannot be sued for the nonsense happening to this company.
Andrew Williams is a good man. He deserves better. He will go on to better career choices.
I still expect Pan American (PAAS) to buy out this company’s assets for a price that will never be properly disclosed.
The new DeepMind Audio covering the Navigator Report 12.
This one is much better. I hope you have 12 minutes to listen.
https://notebooklm.google.com/notebook/9be2dd18-c3cf-43a6-a2ad-15dc4967e5b9
I asked Alexei to remove the report he had posted because there are so many sections that I failed to correct after losing 8 hours of work yesterday and trying to fix it in maybe 4 hours last night — four hours when I wasn’t in the best mood.
The corrected report 2025-12 will be posted tomorrow. This afternoon I have other business to take care of.
The misleading DJIA.
The Dow 30 has 4 up and 26 down, but the index is reading -0.02%, which is flat.
The S&P 500 and NASDAQ Composite are more accurate. The $NYA is most accurate.
Let’s see if the dip buyers can row a cruise ship from a stand still
There is no institutional support or breadth on the NYSE or Nasdaq on this bounce as of noon
I have a decision to make.
First, I have not opened this site since 7:19 pm ET on Friday, so if anybody thinks I removed anything or even read anything, they are wrong.
I have been working on Navigator Report 12 since around 2 pm Friday. I worked straight through until 2 am Saturday. Then I was back at it at 6:30 am Saturday until past midnight, with 2 hours off to watch the Leafs in LA. Then I worked from 7 am today until a late lunch. When I returned from lunch, I unintentionally hit a key that crashed my system.
To say I am exhausted is an understatement. To say I think much about the nonsense I see published here today is even less. I couldn’t care less because this website will be changing soon.
The decision I have to make is whether to close the computer now and fail to publish the Navigator Report 12 that I cannot have worked harder to get done and which looked like it would be the best yet. I just lost all the work done for the past nine hours when my system crashed, and I mistakenly reloaded yesterday’s file from the auto recovery file (and deleted the temp file).
I have spent the past two hours checking everything to recover an unsaved file. It was unsaved because my system has a sync problem between the desktop, documents, and the cloud — on files this size, e.g., 27 MB Navigator reports. Now, my latest work has been overwritten.
So, guys, I am not in the mood to laugh at your nonsense—if you believe it, great—because I have a bigger issue. This Navigator Report 12 was to be the last one before I finalize a deal to partner with an organization to manage everything I do. It would have been a report that met my standards for professionalism.
And now I am too tired to finish, but not too tired to wish many of you goodbye. Find your own place to diddle one another.
Goodbye.
Bill — IF YOU Leave it Alone and Let it Roll it will get BACK to the way it used to Be.
JUST LEAVE IT ALONE … You’ll Be Amazed ….
i am 75 year old, I can say with experience that more busy you are, work more and work hard , you will feel younger,energetic and life full fun, thank you for everything you are doing
Whatever you decide, thank you again for these last 20 years or so. Can’t say it enough times.
I’m betting my entire account that BTC begins a mass run next week
It would be great to hear your thesis as to why a mass run is starting. Bitcoin ETF options activity doesn’t suggest any big moves.
That’s the point
Ill
The history data I use is solid
Not sure I get the point. Are you suggesting that your research can move the Bitcoin market?
It can for me..and whoever chooses to enter. I’m a very small fish in a sea of whales… Trump will cave …I believe the Market as a whole will explode up…
Yippee Ki-Yay … These next 4yrs …
IDK … Here’s IBIT … Somewhere along the way I learned the value of drawing TL’s off Donchian-block corners and to NOT Swing My Thing TOOOOO Wildly Before That TL Broke. Just my 2cents.
IBIT … OTOH there’s a HTF Fib-draw that comes into play …
I agree, Trump will cave, they all remember that in midterm Obama’s democrat lost over 100 seat in house, If trump’s republican don’t shape up–they may lose more than 100?????
Your projection was $150K, so go bet your entire account. This lack of professionalism greatly disappoints me after what we accomplished together over many years.
I’m sorry to disappoint you…but I stand by my prediction
BTC $ 150,000 in April, 2025
The Thread Uniting Today, the Peaks of The Great Depression and the Dot-Com Era
Quantum Entanglement Time Machine
https://www.notyouradvisor.com/p/the-thread-uniting-today-and-the
To the Americans who didn’t believe my words a couple of months ago, listen to them from Canada’s Prime Minister.
Ninety seconds into this video, Canada’s Prime Minister says the relationship between Canada, militarily and economically …”is over.”
Canada is the biggest source of tourism to the US, and February is the big month. This February, Canadian travel to the US dropped -70%. I don’t know a Canadian willing to go to the US now, other than to sell a second home or business.
I don’t know a Canadian now who knowingly buys American products at the stores. The boycott is universal.
Mark Carney accurately described the relationship between the two countries when he said, with a pause for effect, “It’s over.” Think about that. He gave a formal speech to the country, telling Canadians, “It’s over” between Canada and the US.
A few months ago, I never would have believed I’d hear those words in my lifetime.
Canada will now turn to the UK, Europe, Australia, and Japan for friendship, trade, and military relationships. In reply, Trump says, “Don’t you dare!” He says it like a child.
Well, Canada will. It will also cut off essential goods and services that Americans need. A week after “Liberation Day,” American factories will be shutting down. It’s all because America voted for a totalitarian state, a dictator who does not believe in the rule of law, who threatens the world with the all-powerful US military.
I have said this before: the only way Trump can win his war is to start and finish a world war. I’m not certain that bonespurs has the guts to go to war against the Allied nations that stand behind Canada and the rule of law.
Hitler did. Musk would try. Let’s see how far Trump will go.
Whatever the case, Americans will face a tough few months, but I don’t think they are ready to tell Canada that “it’s over.”
Trump: the $3.5T man
This morning, I mentioned the $NYA dropping from 19828 (the Nov 6 post-election result welcoming Trump’s return to the Presidency). After all, he promised the stock market would soar. Today, the New York Stock Exchange Composite closed at around 19270. That’s a loss of over -2.8%. The NASDAQ has plunged from 18983 to 17323, losing 8.74%. When combining the relative sizes of the market caps of both exchanges, where the NASDAQ is slightly larger, the average percent loss since Trump’s 2024 election is 5.6% or about $3.493 trillion.
For all those who think Trump’s a smart guy, think again. He’s a $3.5 trillion loser, and wait until next week.
His DJT was over $51 two weeks after he was elected. It’s under $19 now. How many Trumpers does it take before they admit getting fleeced?
It’s time to demand accountability. Threatening Iran and Greenland today and saying he intends to help the people in Bangkok, where a building collapsed, doesn’t cut it.
Looks like everything is going according to plan. When Trump left office (after the corrupt election), SPX_3800 was roughly the level. After the Inflation Reduction Act (i.e., the Get Biden Re-Elected Act) of Aug-2022, they were able to get it up to ATH SPX_6147.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inflation_Reduction_Act
IMHO, Trump views that run-up as being Biden / Pelosi / Schumer ‘Scooby Doo Bucks’ that are easily BURNT to get these Tariffs in place. It’s All Good ….
I tried to attach a chart in a previous post. Not sure if it will survive this time either.
chart
OK. So you have to post charts separately to get them thru. OK
This is Not Normal … Never has been … Ask Rick Santelli …
I’m already lining up my bets…that Tuesday will be a big nothing burger…
No Chicken Little here..
*.. Bluebird ( aka ‘ black box ‘ Talen Sickle Cell treatment ) gets buyout offer
baz — wish there was a way we could directly communicate
kylemunsey<at>comcast<dot>net
Be Well
BLUE … Now that chart is just Special …
MLGO — OTOH …
Per MLGO… As WIMI was the ‘ parent ‘ company of MLGO, it now control’s 68% of the outstanding shares with a ten year lockup…. Why is WIMI not moving in tandem with MicroAlgo shares ?… WIMI has an upcoming 1 for 20 stock split scheduled for this Tuesday…
I think you will understand the ‘ end game ‘… Most fascinating outline of one person’s business vision I’ve ever heard. It’s worth the time… Hosted by Guy Adami.. Be well …..https://youtu.be/dc9T9POb50A?si=4zj7mOrsUoC9UMnQ
Remember…Editas put their Excellent, and Safe, ex vivo crispr Sickle Cell trial ( phase 2-3 ) on hold to conserve resources for in vivo work on Sickle Cell.. It most definitely would be for sale at the right price.
** yes, I restarted a major Edit position late today
Just a reminder: On Friday, October 16, 1987, the S&P 500 suffered a loss of -5.16%.
This decline was part of the lead-up to Black Monday (October 19), when the S&P 500 plunged –20.47%—its worst one-day percentage drop in history.
Good reminder! Few people know/remember that the Friday before was a big red warning flag.
I remember it. Ronald Reagan reassuring people on national television.
I’m not saying this Monday will be like Black Monday, but we must learn from history.
History should be a teacher. The facts are there. What happens today is mostly narrative nonsense — just another shade of the Big Lie.
Copper at an ATH but Basic Materials sector remains weak; that includes iron ore, aluminum, and chemicals. Atlanta Fed predicting negative growth in Q1 GDP (-2.8% however seems a ridiculously wrong and shocking number). Inflation Feb PCE came in at 2.8%. Consumer sentiment v. poor. #stagflation
The US stock market has been down since the election.
Trump campaigned on the promise that the market would rally with him in office but would crash if Harris and Walz were elected.
The New York Stock Exchange closed on November 6 at 19828 and looked firm. Today $NYA is 19534, and looking like it’s about to collapse because of Trump’s dubious Executive Orders.
He said that he would ensure that prices were cut the day he took office. They have gone up. Today’s PCE data is looking like consumer inflation could rise to 4-5% this year. At the same time, the economy is weakening. Stagflation is anything but market friendly. It’s no wonder that Trump would rather talk about Greenland and Canada.
At what point do we observe accountability?
Inflation lift-off.
From Investing.com:
LULU doesn’t like Tariffs.
Lululemon (LULU) investors enjoyed a Double Top Breakout on Monday’s Daily data Point and figure chart.
Then, 10 minutes before yesterday’s close, there was an enormous increase in sell orders as the stock wobbled into the close.
Following the Trump tariff talk after yesterday’s close, investors selling in LULU followed through. The stock has gone no bid. LULU is down over $40 (-12%). Investors are telling Trump they have had enough. Why take the risk?
The Daily data Pivot Points on the LULU chart show S2 (lowest support) was at $315. The stock is presently $299. If today’s close does not exceed $315, that will be the new resistance level, and LULU investors will be looking for a safe haven in the storm. Who knows how low that will be.
Consumer sentiment data in the future will not be pretty.
A long-term cycle low might be $250 for LULU.
Note the divergence between price and the technical indicators.
Divergence is seldom a trading signal, but it does serve as a warning.
https://www.stocktitan.net/news/RNAZ/trans-code-therapeutics-announces-initial-dosing-in-fourth-cohort-of-kvut1m6wp09z.html
https://www.biospace.com/transcode-therapeutics-reports-2023-results-provides-business-update
The inevitable response to Trump’s tariff war.
From Stockwatch today:
Readers of my Global Market Navigator Report know that last week, I mentioned the start of the newly curated list called Bill Cara’s Global Best 50. It’s much closer to finishing this week, but it’s still two weeks away. Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ) made the global top 50. It was close with Enbridge (ENB), but with Enbridge delivering 58% of Canada’s total oil & gas exports to the US, and Trump making decisions the way he does, I am reluctant to risk adding this terrific company to my Best 50 list — even though two-thirds of Enbridge’s delivery is the heavy oil that US refiners must have.
Enbridge pipelines are fixed, but Canadian Natural can move its product to China at better rates than what the US sells for.
Investors must manage risk, so CNQ is my choice.
MEG Energy, Tourmaline, Imperial, upstream jewels; Keyera and Pembina have a place with Enbridge for midstream; have owned CNQ and Suncor in the past and done well (Suncor feels fully priced at the moment). If all this tariff BS hadn’t started would own all of them. I’ve since reduced exposure to oil.