Bill Cara

Investing with Bill

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jimg

Latest estimate: 4.6 percent — June 02, 2025
The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 2025 is 4.6 percent on June 2, up from 3.8 percent on May 30.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=4ba301aa-60b3-4923-9b07-5b55ea9d7495

gdpnow-forecast-evolution
dave.raj09@yahoo.com

?

Last edited 5 hours ago by [email protected]
baz22

Interesting Alzheimer’s work.. ALZN….

Last edited 9 hours ago by baz22
dave.raj09@yahoo.com

looking at chinese stock with low RSI— BIDU/PDD
MSFT and APPLE are lot lower than 52 wk HIgh and will buy them on Monday + NVDA to hold for long term, (over a year)
also will buy XLE–XLV–XPH , instead of holding all cash, I rather park my money here in these ETF for a year
Interesting low price but not touching them right now — they are HAL/BKR/MUR

I monitor and pay attention to only 50 stock I like , don’t pay much atten to other thousand of stocks, unless once a while someone makes headline???

did good in SMMT –in and out many times, will get in on monday

Last edited 2 days ago by [email protected]
baz22

I’ve found, personally, that just trading One different stock daily works best… Yes, I’ll make more than one trade per day, but not until I’ve sold one, then, started another if things are good…it can be the same stock, or an entirely different one
The issue is, imo, you absolutely have to know the companies you are trading – not just a glance at charts and statistics…it has to be a deep understanding of that company’s history, inside and out..
I believe that’s why one of Bills trader friends said it would take 10 years of experience to have a grasp on trading
….Now, that’s for Trading…issues like TIL at $ 12 should be a hold for the time to tell….yet, you still Need to Know it’s history as well…so when SMMT had a bad news report, it was instantly a ‘ Sell ‘ signal for TIL
Then, wait till the dust settles
Exactly the opposite for CLF Friday pm. when Trump announced the 50% tarrifs on imported steel
Regardless of Monday, CLF was a screaming ‘ Buy ‘ for 1 1/2 hours

Last edited 2 days ago by baz22
baz22

Sorry…was just trying to add a bit to the day trade market observation

c2ski
Kyle

Agree Completely. That was Excellent. He was being (somewhat) polite for the audience, BUT it seemed like he was ready to unload in a private meeting.

Kieran

Here it is (no paywall) from the Reagan Foundation
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1NHLha3jG2g

Kyle

My Thanks as well. Perhaps we can get the transcript and discuss some of these points. From a Politics viewpoint, I do think that this type of person is what our Founding Fathers Hoped would become President.

Someone Older, Experienced in the World & with enough Money that they put the country before themselves, i.e., they’re in “Give Back” mode

jimg

Jamie Dimon “You are going to see a crack in the bond market”

https://x.com/DavidLe76335983/status/1928608882760245562

jimg
jimg

Mike Green: Tariffs and AI will be huge deflationary forces rolling through the economy

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8fJI2dQUZ64

baz22
baz22

In the Trading Community ( I didn’t post here ) I decided to wait on NTLA…

Chris
jimg

Platinum open interest is up 16k lots in 8 sessions.

OI is near an all-time high. Nine years of range compression plus rising volume could ignite a scramble for liquidity in a very thin market. The narrative is really just one word: China. Gold is up 6× vs. XPT since the bottom in 2008. Anglo is going to spin off its XPT biz (AMPLATS) next week.

BBG: https://archive.is/LaXgD

Kyle

Today is Memorial Day.

baz22

how much does the totalitarian journalism of the leftist dominated media influence…?… I’m thinking Greatly

Last edited 7 days ago by baz22
Dave

Most folks do not understand that journalists are highly educated professionals with a sincere desire to participate in the fourth branch of our US democracy. Journalists with major media organizations will be fired for violating journalistic codes of ethics.

Moderate Republicans have for decades repeated the false talking point of the so-called ”liberal” media. Define “liberal” as highly intelligent and informed professionals speaking truth to power and telling you what you do not want to hear, but need to hear.

If someone is listening to internet personalities who are pedaling fear and hate to generate maximum clicks for cash, well, it speaks for itself.

Themes common to codes of journalistic standards include:

1) Professional journalists are expected to be as accurate as possible given the time allotted for story preparation and the space available, and to seek reliable sources.
 
2) Properly using their sources and using accurate quoting and use of words from interview or conversation.

3) Events with a single eyewitness are reported with attribution. Events with two or more independent eyewitnesses may be reported as fact. Controversial facts are reported with attribution.

4) Independent fact-checking by another employee of the publisher is desirable.

5) ETC.

King Trump is the opposite. Vague references like: A lot of people are saying …Everybody’s talking about it. I’ve heard that …A lot of people tell me …

Vague Adjectives: amazing / beautiful / best / big league / brilliant / elegant / fabulous / fantastic / fine / good / great / happy / honest / incredible / nice / outstanding / phenomenal / powerful / sophisticated / special / strong / successful / top / tremendous / unbelievable/ boring / complete and total / crooked / disgusting / dishonest / dopey / dumb / goofy / horrible / interesting* / not good / obsolete / out of control / overrated / pathetic / ridiculous / rude / sad / scary / stupid / terrible / unfair / weak / worst.

Joseph Goebbels: “Make the lie big, make it simple, keep saying it, and eventually they will believe it.”

Apparently, many in the US don’t know history and thus, perhaps, we are all doomed to repeat it.

Kyle

Walter Cronkite’s final sign-off was on March 6, 1981. Journalistic integrity DIED then.
That was the END of it.

baz22
Kyle

Dire Straits — that song is “from GOD” …

Here’s another one from Culpeper Cemetery …

https://www.youtube.com/shorts/M3TIG5wKzKY

baz22

Much appreciated…. Thank you