April 10, 2025 Over the years, I’ve observed that the world of finance is split into two distinct groups: traders and investors. Many articles on the subject still follow the old sell-side narrative, missing the true difference. In my view, the most important distinction lies in how each participant is
Wednesday, April 9, 2025 Investors are Bracing for Volatility as Trade War Escalates—Here’s How to Protect Your Portfolio It’s not a good day for investors worldwide. Following former President Trump’s latest tariff hike—taking the total to a staggering 104% on US imports of Chinese goods—China has retaliated with an 84% tariff on
April 8, 2025 A few days ago, I published a comprehensive report on my analysis of the Trump tariffs. Today, I will provide detailed but general advice to institutional clients. The Trump ‘America First’ policy regarding international trade will have an enormous impact on the worldwide economy. The 15-18% annualized
April 8, 2025 Today marks the first time I’ve truly felt that Pierre Poilievre is poised to become Canada’s next Prime Minister. One glance at former Prime Minister Stephen Harper on the campaign trail solidified this belief. Under Harper’s leadership, Canada was an economic powerhouse, leading the OECD in growth,
April 7, 2025 The market’s recent movements have been chaotic, with conflicting signals across major indices. Headlines scream “Bear Market,” but the reality is more nuanced. Here’s how to make sense of it all. The Misleading Broad Market Narrative The S&P 500 and NASDAQ’s daily results can be deceptive. While
April 3, 2025 When multiple Point & Figure (P&F) charts show double bottom breakdowns simultaneously, as happened this morning, it signals that large-scale selling by institutional investors is overwhelming market demand. Significant additional declines usually follow this bearish trend in stock prices. Why It Matters A Clear Signal of Weakness
April 3, 2025 Donald Trump’s sweeping new tariffs aren’t just about trade imbalances or protecting American jobs—they’re a last-ditch effort to prevent the US from losing its economic and military supremacy to China. At first glance, the aggressive tariffs appear to be another chapter in Trump’s “America First” playbook, a
April 3, 2025 Key Observations: Macro Implications: Base Case vs. Tail Risk: Investment Strategy: Conclusion: While I seriously disagree with his methods because doing daily business has been rendered near impossible, Trump’s attempts to control the US government and consumer spending, budgetary deficits, and growing debt are justified. In enforcing a
April 1, 2025 1. Executive Summary: The recent implementation and proposed expansion of tariffs have generated significant concerns regarding their wide-ranging effects on the global economy. This report synthesizes current research and expert analysis to comprehensively assess these impacts, spanning direct economic consequences, trade dynamics, macroeconomic stability, political considerations, strategic
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